PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Orenburg 2–2 Dynamo Moscow · Premier League

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Orenburg and Dynamo Moscow drew 2–2.

Shots
1620
Shots on target
69
Expected goals
2.063.06
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Orenburg and Dynamo Moscow drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Orenburg – Dynamo Moscow): shots 16–20, shots on target 6–9, expected goals 2.06–3.06, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Dynamo Moscow's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Dynamo Moscow's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.57 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots20 shotsOrenburg 16 shots, Dynamo Moscow 20 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots9 shotsOrenburg 6 shots, Dynamo Moscow 9 shots
  • Expected goals2.06 xG3.06 xGOrenburg 2.06 xG, Dynamo Moscow 3.06 xG
  • Possession53%47%Orenburg 53%, Dynamo Moscow 47%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersOrenburg 3 corners, Dynamo Moscow 6 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls11 foulsOrenburg 14 fouls, Dynamo Moscow 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Orenburg
0Draws
3Dynamo Moscow
Orenburg — Dynamo Moscow · Premier League1–2
Dynamo Moscow — Orenburg · Premier League2–0
Orenburg — Dynamo Moscow · Premier League3–0
Dynamo Moscow — Orenburg · Premier League3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Orenburg favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Dynamo Moscow in 2 · 9 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Orenburg7 matchesDynamo Moscow7 matches
1.29 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 1.57 goals/match
1.86 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 0.86 goals/match
1.75 xG/matchExpected goals4/51.73 xG/match
17.3 shots/matchShots4/518 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on target4/5▲ 7.4 shots/match
53.3% ●Possession4/549.2%
6 corners/match ●Corners4/55.8 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls4/511.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Sept 2024, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOrenburgDynamo Moscow
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headOrenburg — Dynamo Moscow
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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