PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Fakel Voronezh 1–0 Orenburg · Premier League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fakel Voronezh won 1–0.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: fakel Voronezh's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Fakel Voronezh's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fakel Voronezh's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.33 goals/match1.28 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Fakel Voronezh
1Draws
2Orenburg
Fakel Voronezh — Orenburg · Premier League0–0
Orenburg — Fakel Voronezh · Premier League1–2
Fakel Voronezh — Orenburg · Premier League1–3
Orenburg — Fakel Voronezh · Premier League4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fakel Voronezh favored in 1 of 4 directional metrics · Orenburg in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fakel Voronezh6 matchesOrenburg6 matches
0.33 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.17 goals/match
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.83 goals/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Aug 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShare of matches scored in rankingFewest goals allowed per match ranking
TeamsFakel VoronezhOrenburg
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headFakel Voronezh — Orenburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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