PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Krylya Sovetov Samara 1–2 FK Krasnodar · Premier League

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FK Krasnodar won 1–2.

Shots
913
Shots on target
56
Expected goals
1.111.47
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

FK Krasnodar beat Krylya Sovetov Samara 2–1. Recorded in this match (Krylya Sovetov Samara – FK Krasnodar): shots 9–13, shots on target 5–6, expected goals 1.11–1.47, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FK Krasnodar's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FK Krasnodar's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.2 goals/match2.08 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FK Krasnodar show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FK Krasnodar's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsKrylya Sovetov Samara · FK Krasnodar17 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKrylya Sovetov SamaraFK KrasnodarBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match17 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against13.8 shots/match10.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots13 shotsKrylya Sovetov Samara 9 shots, FK Krasnodar 13 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots6 shotsKrylya Sovetov Samara 5 shots, FK Krasnodar 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.11 xG1.47 xGKrylya Sovetov Samara 1.11 xG, FK Krasnodar 1.47 xG
  • Possession47%53%Krylya Sovetov Samara 47%, FK Krasnodar 53%
  • Corners6 corners6 cornersKrylya Sovetov Samara 6 corners, FK Krasnodar 6 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls16 foulsKrylya Sovetov Samara 10 fouls, FK Krasnodar 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Krylya Sovetov Samara
2Draws
2FK Krasnodar
Krylya Sovetov Samara — FK Krasnodar · Premier League0–0
FK Krasnodar — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League2–1
FK Krasnodar — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League2–1
Krylya Sovetov Samara — FK Krasnodar · Premier League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Krylya Sovetov Samara favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · FK Krasnodar in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Krylya Sovetov Samara13 matchesFK Krasnodar13 matches
0.92 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲ 2.08 goals/match
1.46 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲ 0.46 goals/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goals10/11▲ 2.11 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots10/11▲ 17 shots/match
4.3 shots/matchShots on target10/11▲ 5.73 shots/match
49.5%Possession10/11● 54.6%
4.8 corners/matchCorners10/11● 4.82 corners/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1111 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 28 Oct 2024, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKrylya Sovetov SamaraFK Krasnodar
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headKrylya Sovetov Samara — FK Krasnodar
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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