PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

FK Krasnodar 4–0 Orenburg · Premier League

4–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FK Krasnodar won 4–0.

Shots
1820
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
1.861.67
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

FK Krasnodar beat Orenburg 4–0. Recorded in this match (FK Krasnodar – Orenburg): shots 18–20, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 1.86–1.67, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FK Krasnodar's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FK Krasnodar's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.21 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3 goals/match2.21 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots20 shotsFK Krasnodar 18 shots, Orenburg 20 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsFK Krasnodar 6 shots, Orenburg 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.86 xG1.67 xGFK Krasnodar 1.86 xG, Orenburg 1.67 xG
  • Possession53%47%FK Krasnodar 53%, Orenburg 47%
  • Corners5 corners9 cornersFK Krasnodar 5 corners, Orenburg 9 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls15 foulsFK Krasnodar 8 fouls, Orenburg 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3FK Krasnodar
0Draws
1Orenburg
FK Krasnodar — Orenburg · Premier League2–1
Orenburg — FK Krasnodar · Premier League0–2
Orenburg — FK Krasnodar · Premier League5–1
FK Krasnodar — Orenburg · Premier League2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FK Krasnodar favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Orenburg in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FK Krasnodar14 matchesOrenburg14 matches
2.21 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/141.07 goals/match
0.43 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/142 goals/match
2.09 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/91.95 xG/match
17.1 shots/matchShots12/917.9 shots/match
5.75 shots/match ▲Shots on target12/93.89 shots/match
54.5% ●Possession12/954.4%
4.83 corners/matchCorners12/9● 6.67 corners/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls12/912.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 Nov 2024, 20:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFK KrasnodarOrenburg
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headFK Krasnodar — Orenburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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