Premier League · 2024

Dinamo Makhachkala 2–1 Orenburg · Premier League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Dinamo Makhachkala won 2–1.

Shots
205
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
2.540.47
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

Dinamo Makhachkala beat Orenburg 2–1. Recorded in this match (Dinamo Makhachkala – Orenburg): shots 20–5, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 2.54–0.47, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Dinamo Makhachkala's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Dinamo Makhachkala's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.6 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.6 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.91 corners/matchCornersDinamo Makhachkala · Orenburg● 6.1 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricDinamo MakhachkalaOrenburgBaseline
Corners5.91 corners/match6.1 corners/match4.82 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Orenburg show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Orenburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsDinamo Makhachkala · Orenburg16.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDinamo MakhachkalaOrenburgBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match16.6 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against12.1 shots/match13.5 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots5 shotsDinamo Makhachkala 20 shots, Orenburg 5 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsDinamo Makhachkala 7 shots, Orenburg 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.54 xG0.47 xGDinamo Makhachkala 2.54 xG, Orenburg 0.47 xG
  • Possession68%32%Dinamo Makhachkala 68%, Orenburg 32%
  • Corners11 corners1 cornerDinamo Makhachkala 11 corners, Orenburg 1 corner
  • Fouls6 fouls16 foulsDinamo Makhachkala 6 fouls, Orenburg 16 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Dinamo Makhachkala favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Orenburg in 6

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Dinamo Makhachkala15 matchesOrenburg15 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲ 1.07 goals/match
0.93 goals/match ▲Goals allowed15/152 goals/match
1.02 xG/matchExpected goals11/10▲ 1.8 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots11/10▲ 16.6 shots/match
3.27 shots/matchShots on target11/10▲ 3.7 shots/match
43.8%Possession11/10● 52.2%
5.91 corners/matchCorners11/10● 6.1 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls11/1013 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 Nov 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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