PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Zenit St. Petersburg 1–1 Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Zenit St. Petersburg and Lokomotiv Moscow drew 1–1.

Shots
1213
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
2.061.56
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Zenit St. Petersburg and Lokomotiv Moscow drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Zenit St. Petersburg – Lokomotiv Moscow): shots 12–13, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 2.06–1.56, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lokomotiv Moscow's recent record differs from the season

weak

Lokomotiv Moscow's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match2.08 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots13 shotsZenit St. Petersburg 12 shots, Lokomotiv Moscow 13 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsZenit St. Petersburg 5 shots, Lokomotiv Moscow 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.06 xG1.56 xGZenit St. Petersburg 2.06 xG, Lokomotiv Moscow 1.56 xG
  • Possession66%34%Zenit St. Petersburg 66%, Lokomotiv Moscow 34%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersZenit St. Petersburg 6 corners, Lokomotiv Moscow 3 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls14 foulsZenit St. Petersburg 8 fouls, Lokomotiv Moscow 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Zenit St. Petersburg
0Draws
2Lokomotiv Moscow
Lokomotiv Moscow — Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League3–1
Zenit St. Petersburg — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League1–2
Lokomotiv Moscow — Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League1–2
Zenit St. Petersburg — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League5–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Zenit St. Petersburg favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Lokomotiv Moscow in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Zenit St. Petersburg13 matchesLokomotiv Moscow13 matches
2.23 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/132.08 goals/match
0.38 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/131.31 goals/match
1.68 xG/matchExpected goals8/91.7 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots8/9▲ 15.9 shots/match
5.25 shots/matchShots on target8/95.44 shots/match
59.3% ●Possession8/945.9%
4.5 corners/matchCorners8/9● 6 corners/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls8/914 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 27 Oct 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsZenit St. PetersburgLokomotiv Moscow
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headZenit St. Petersburg — Lokomotiv Moscow
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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