PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Orenburg 0–1 Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Zenit St. Petersburg won 0–1.

Shots
620
Shots on target
27
Expected goals
0.431.53
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

Zenit St. Petersburg beat Orenburg 1–0. Recorded in this match (Orenburg – Zenit St. Petersburg): shots 6–20, shots on target 2–7, expected goals 0.43–1.53, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Orenburg's recent record differs from the season

weak

Orenburg's last-five shots average is below their season average.

12.5 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season15.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots12.5 shots/match15.6 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots20 shotsOrenburg 6 shots, Zenit St. Petersburg 20 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots7 shotsOrenburg 2 shots, Zenit St. Petersburg 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.43 xG1.53 xGOrenburg 0.43 xG, Zenit St. Petersburg 1.53 xG
  • Possession33%67%Orenburg 33%, Zenit St. Petersburg 67%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersOrenburg 5 corners, Zenit St. Petersburg 6 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls4 foulsOrenburg 13 fouls, Zenit St. Petersburg 4 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Orenburg
1Draws
3Zenit St. Petersburg
Zenit St. Petersburg — Orenburg · Premier League1–0
Zenit St. Petersburg — Orenburg · Premier League1–0
Orenburg — Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League3–1
Orenburg — Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League2–2
Zenit St. Petersburg — Orenburg · Premier League8–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Orenburg favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Zenit St. Petersburg in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Orenburg16 matchesZenit St. Petersburg16 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored16/16▲ 2.13 goals/match
1.94 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲ 0.44 goals/match
1.68 xG/matchExpected goals11/101.62 xG/match
15.6 shots/match ▲Shots11/1012.4 shots/match
3.55 shots/matchShots on target11/10▲ 5.4 shots/match
50.5%Possession11/10● 59.5%
6 corners/match ●Corners11/104.6 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls11/109.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Nov 2024, 13:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOrenburgZenit St. Petersburg
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headOrenburg — Zenit St. Petersburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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