PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

CSKA Moscow 1–2 FC Rostov · Premier League

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Rostov won 1–2.

Shots
714
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
0.550.65
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Rostov beat CSKA Moscow 2–1. Recorded in this match (CSKA Moscow – FC Rostov): shots 7–14, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 0.55–0.65, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

CSKA Moscow's recent record differs from the season

moderate

CSKA Moscow's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.56 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.56 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots14 shotsCSKA Moscow 7 shots, FC Rostov 14 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsCSKA Moscow 3 shots, FC Rostov 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.55 xG0.65 xGCSKA Moscow 0.55 xG, FC Rostov 0.65 xG
  • Possession56%44%CSKA Moscow 56%, FC Rostov 44%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersCSKA Moscow 2 corners, FC Rostov 4 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls9 foulsCSKA Moscow 17 fouls, FC Rostov 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2CSKA Moscow
3Draws
0FC Rostov
FC Rostov — CSKA Moscow · Premier League0–0
CSKA Moscow — FC Rostov · Premier League2–0
FC Rostov — CSKA Moscow · Premier League3–3
CSKA Moscow — FC Rostov · Premier League4–1
FC Rostov — CSKA Moscow · Premier League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CSKA Moscow favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · FC Rostov in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CSKA Moscow16 matchesFC Rostov16 matches
1.56 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/161.38 goals/match
0.75 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/161.69 goals/match
1.45 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.51 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots10/10▲ 15.6 shots/match
4.8 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/104.4 shots/match
52%Possession10/10● 57%
3.7 corners/matchCorners10/10● 4.6 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Nov 2024, 15:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCSKA MoscowFC Rostov
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headCSKA Moscow — FC Rostov
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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