PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Akron Togliatti 1–0 Orenburg · Premier League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Akron Togliatti won 1–0.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: orenburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Orenburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Orenburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.94 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.94 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Akron Togliatti
1Draws
0Orenburg
Orenburg — Akron Togliatti · Premier League2–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Akron Togliatti favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Orenburg in 5 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Akron Togliatti17 matchesOrenburg17 matches
1.18 goals/match ▲Goals scored17/170.94 goals/match
1.94 goals/matchGoals allowed17/171.88 goals/match
1.24 xG/matchExpected goals10/11▲ 1.68 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots10/11▲ 15.6 shots/match
3.3 shots/matchShots on target10/11▲ 3.55 shots/match
48.6%Possession10/11● 50.5%
4.1 corners/matchCorners10/11● 6 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1113 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Nov 2024, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAkron TogliattiOrenburg
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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