PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Akron Togliatti 1–0 Fakel Voronezh · Premier League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Akron Togliatti won 1–0.

Shots
168
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
3.160.62
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Akron Togliatti beat Fakel Voronezh 1–0. Recorded in this match (Akron Togliatti – Fakel Voronezh): shots 16–8, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 3.16–0.62, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fakel Voronezh's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fakel Voronezh's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.46 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0 goals/match0.46 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots8 shotsAkron Togliatti 16 shots, Fakel Voronezh 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotAkron Togliatti 4 shots, Fakel Voronezh 1 shot
  • Expected goals3.16 xG0.62 xGAkron Togliatti 3.16 xG, Fakel Voronezh 0.62 xG
  • Possession55%45%Akron Togliatti 55%, Fakel Voronezh 45%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersAkron Togliatti 6 corners, Fakel Voronezh 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls17 foulsAkron Togliatti 13 fouls, Fakel Voronezh 17 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Akron Togliatti
0Draws
0Fakel Voronezh
Fakel Voronezh — Akron Togliatti · Premier League0–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Akron Togliatti favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Fakel Voronezh in 5

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Akron Togliatti24 matchesFakel Voronezh24 matches
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/240.46 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲ 1.42 goals/match
1.49 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/120.8 xG/match
11.9 shots/match ▲Shots15/159.33 shots/match
3.47 shots/match ▲Shots on target15/151.8 shots/match
48.2% ●Possession15/1538.9%
4.53 corners/match ●Corners15/153.93 corners/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls15/1515.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Apr 2025, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAkron TogliattiFakel Voronezh
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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