PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Akron Togliatti 2–3 FC Spartak Moscow · Premier League

2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Spartak Moscow won 2–3.

Shots
917
Shots on target
58
Expected goals
1.763.39
Possession
32%68%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Spartak Moscow beat Akron Togliatti 3–2. Recorded in this match (Akron Togliatti – FC Spartak Moscow): shots 9–17, shots on target 5–8, expected goals 1.76–3.39, possession 32%–68%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Spartak Moscow's recent record differs from the season

weak

FC Spartak Moscow's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.84 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.84 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots17 shotsAkron Togliatti 9 shots, FC Spartak Moscow 17 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots8 shotsAkron Togliatti 5 shots, FC Spartak Moscow 8 shots
  • Expected goals1.76 xG3.39 xGAkron Togliatti 1.76 xG, FC Spartak Moscow 3.39 xG
  • Possession32%68%Akron Togliatti 32%, FC Spartak Moscow 68%
  • Corners2 corners3 cornersAkron Togliatti 2 corners, FC Spartak Moscow 3 corners
  • Fouls23 fouls17 foulsAkron Togliatti 23 fouls, FC Spartak Moscow 17 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Akron Togliatti
0Draws
1FC Spartak Moscow
FC Spartak Moscow — Akron Togliatti · Premier League4–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Akron Togliatti favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · FC Spartak Moscow in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Akron Togliatti25 matchesFC Spartak Moscow25 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored25/25▲ 1.84 goals/match
1.72 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 0.8 goals/match
1.51 xG/matchExpected goals15/15▲ 2.05 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots16/17▲ 17.4 shots/match
3.56 shots/matchShots on target16/17▲ 5.82 shots/match
47.2%Possession16/17● 64.8%
4.38 corners/matchCorners16/17● 6 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls16/1714.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Apr 2025, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAkron TogliattiFC Spartak Moscow
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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