PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Fakel Voronezh 0–2 FC Rostov · Premier League

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Rostov won 0–2.

Shots
2514
Shots on target
85
Expected goals
1.091.38
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Rostov beat Fakel Voronezh 2–0. Recorded in this match (Fakel Voronezh – FC Rostov): shots 25–14, shots on target 8–5, expected goals 1.09–1.38, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fakel Voronezh's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fakel Voronezh's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.44 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0 goals/match0.44 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots25 shots14 shotsFakel Voronezh 25 shots, FC Rostov 14 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots5 shotsFakel Voronezh 8 shots, FC Rostov 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.09 xG1.38 xGFakel Voronezh 1.09 xG, FC Rostov 1.38 xG
  • Possession55%45%Fakel Voronezh 55%, FC Rostov 45%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersFakel Voronezh 7 corners, FC Rostov 2 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls20 foulsFakel Voronezh 18 fouls, FC Rostov 20 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Fakel Voronezh
1Draws
3FC Rostov
FC Rostov — Fakel Voronezh · Premier League4–1
Fakel Voronezh — FC Rostov · Premier League0–1
FC Rostov — Fakel Voronezh · Premier League2–1
FC Rostov — Fakel Voronezh · Premier League0–2
Fakel Voronezh — FC Rostov · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fakel Voronezh favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · FC Rostov in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fakel Voronezh25 matchesFC Rostov25 matches
0.44 goals/matchGoals scored25/25▲ 1.52 goals/match
1.44 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/251.52 goals/match
0.82 xG/matchExpected goals13/16▲ 1.72 xG/match
10.3 shots/matchShots16/17▲ 15.4 shots/match
2.19 shots/matchShots on target16/17▲ 4.35 shots/match
39.9%Possession16/17● 52.5%
4.13 corners/matchCorners16/17● 4.29 corners/match
15.6 fouls/matchFouls16/1713.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Apr 2025, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFakel VoronezhFC Rostov
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headFakel Voronezh — FC Rostov
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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