PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Dynamo Moscow 3–1 Rubin Kazan · Premier League

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Dynamo Moscow won 3–1.

Shots
1610
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
1.241.24
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Dynamo Moscow beat Rubin Kazan 3–1. Recorded in this match (Dynamo Moscow – Rubin Kazan): shots 16–10, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 1.24–1.24, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rubin Kazan's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rubin Kazan's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.24 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.24 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots10 shotsDynamo Moscow 16 shots, Rubin Kazan 10 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsDynamo Moscow 7 shots, Rubin Kazan 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.24 xG1.24 xGDynamo Moscow 1.24 xG, Rubin Kazan 1.24 xG
  • Possession60%40%Dynamo Moscow 60%, Rubin Kazan 40%
  • Corners10 corners6 cornersDynamo Moscow 10 corners, Rubin Kazan 6 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls18 foulsDynamo Moscow 7 fouls, Rubin Kazan 18 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Dynamo Moscow
1Draws
0Rubin Kazan
Rubin Kazan — Dynamo Moscow · Premier League0–4
Dynamo Moscow — Rubin Kazan · Premier League1–0
Rubin Kazan — Dynamo Moscow · Premier League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Dynamo Moscow favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Rubin Kazan in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Dynamo Moscow25 matchesRubin Kazan25 matches
2.12 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/251.24 goals/match
1.16 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/251.48 goals/match
1.77 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/131.29 xG/match
16.6 shots/match ▲Shots17/1510.1 shots/match
6.41 shots/match ▲Shots on target17/153.6 shots/match
54.2% ●Possession17/1541.1%
5.88 corners/match ●Corners17/153.73 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls17/1515.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Apr 2025, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDynamo MoscowRubin Kazan
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headDynamo Moscow — Rubin Kazan
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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