PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Rubin Kazan 2–1 Fakel Voronezh · Premier League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Rubin Kazan won 2–1.

Shots
1512
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.131.14
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rubin Kazan beat Fakel Voronezh 2–1. Recorded in this match (Rubin Kazan – Fakel Voronezh): shots 15–12, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.13–1.14, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fakel Voronezh's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fakel Voronezh's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.46 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.46 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rubin Kazan have a visible home split

moderate

Rubin Kazan's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.6 shots/match10.4 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots12 shotsRubin Kazan 15 shots, Fakel Voronezh 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsRubin Kazan 5 shots, Fakel Voronezh 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.13 xG1.14 xGRubin Kazan 1.13 xG, Fakel Voronezh 1.14 xG
  • Possession67%33%Rubin Kazan 67%, Fakel Voronezh 33%
  • Corners4 corners7 cornersRubin Kazan 4 corners, Fakel Voronezh 7 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls10 foulsRubin Kazan 13 fouls, Fakel Voronezh 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Rubin Kazan
1Draws
0Fakel Voronezh
Fakel Voronezh — Rubin Kazan · Premier League0–0
Rubin Kazan — Fakel Voronezh · Premier League1–0
Fakel Voronezh — Rubin Kazan · Premier League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rubin Kazan favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Fakel Voronezh in 3 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rubin Kazan26 matchesFakel Voronezh26 matches
1.27 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/260.46 goals/match
1.46 goals/matchGoals allowed26/261.46 goals/match
1.28 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/140.85 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots16/1710.4 shots/match
3.69 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/172.29 shots/match
42.8% ●Possession16/1739.5%
3.75 corners/matchCorners16/17● 4.29 corners/match
15.6 fouls/matchFouls16/1715.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 27 Apr 2025, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRubin KazanFakel Voronezh
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headRubin Kazan — Fakel Voronezh
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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