PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

FK Krasnodar 2–1 Rubin Kazan · Premier League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FK Krasnodar won 2–1.

Shots
916
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
1.762.66
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

FK Krasnodar beat Rubin Kazan 2–1. Recorded in this match (FK Krasnodar – Rubin Kazan): shots 9–16, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 1.76–2.66, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FK Krasnodar's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FK Krasnodar's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.2 shots/match14.8 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots16 shotsFK Krasnodar 9 shots, Rubin Kazan 16 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsFK Krasnodar 3 shots, Rubin Kazan 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.76 xG2.66 xGFK Krasnodar 1.76 xG, Rubin Kazan 2.66 xG
  • Possession46%54%FK Krasnodar 46%, Rubin Kazan 54%
  • Corners1 corner6 cornersFK Krasnodar 1 corner, Rubin Kazan 6 corners
  • Fouls22 fouls18 foulsFK Krasnodar 22 fouls, Rubin Kazan 18 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1FK Krasnodar
2Draws
0Rubin Kazan
Rubin Kazan — FK Krasnodar · Premier League1–1
FK Krasnodar — Rubin Kazan · Premier League1–1
Rubin Kazan — FK Krasnodar · Premier League0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FK Krasnodar favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Rubin Kazan in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FK Krasnodar27 matchesRubin Kazan27 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/271.26 goals/match
0.78 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.48 goals/match
1.93 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/151.37 xG/match
14.8 shots/match ▲Shots24/1710.8 shots/match
5.25 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/173.59 shots/match
56.9% ●Possession24/1743.4%
4.5 corners/match ●Corners24/173.88 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls24/1715.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 May 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFK KrasnodarRubin Kazan
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headFK Krasnodar — Rubin Kazan
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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