PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Lokomotiv Moscow 1–1 Orenburg · Premier League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lokomotiv Moscow and Orenburg drew 1–1.

Shots
824
Shots on target
38
Expected goals
1.261.79
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lokomotiv Moscow and Orenburg drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Lokomotiv Moscow – Orenburg): shots 8–24, shots on target 3–8, expected goals 1.26–1.79, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lokomotiv Moscow's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lokomotiv Moscow's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match14.2 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots24 shotsLokomotiv Moscow 8 shots, Orenburg 24 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots8 shotsLokomotiv Moscow 3 shots, Orenburg 8 shots
  • Expected goals1.26 xG1.79 xGLokomotiv Moscow 1.26 xG, Orenburg 1.79 xG
  • Possession49%51%Lokomotiv Moscow 49%, Orenburg 51%
  • Corners3 corners11 cornersLokomotiv Moscow 3 corners, Orenburg 11 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls10 foulsLokomotiv Moscow 16 fouls, Orenburg 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Lokomotiv Moscow
0Draws
1Orenburg
Orenburg — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League2–4
Orenburg — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League0–2
Lokomotiv Moscow — Orenburg · Premier League0–2
Orenburg — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League1–4
Lokomotiv Moscow — Orenburg · Premier League5–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lokomotiv Moscow favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Orenburg in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lokomotiv Moscow27 matchesOrenburg27 matches
1.63 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/270.85 goals/match
1.41 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.81 goals/match
1.5 xG/matchExpected goals18/191.48 xG/match
14.2 shots/matchShots21/2014.9 shots/match
5.19 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/204 shots/match
49.4%Possession21/20● 51.1%
5 corners/matchCorners21/20● 7.05 corners/match
15 fouls/matchFouls21/2014.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 May 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLokomotiv MoscowOrenburg
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headLokomotiv Moscow — Orenburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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