PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Krylya Sovetov Samara 2–0 Orenburg · Premier League

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Krylya Sovetov Samara won 2–0.

Shots
1116
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
30.65
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Krylya Sovetov Samara beat Orenburg 2–0. Recorded in this match (Krylya Sovetov Samara – Orenburg): shots 11–16, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 3–0.65, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Krylya Sovetov Samara's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Krylya Sovetov Samara's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.23 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.23 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Krylya Sovetov Samara have a visible home split

moderate

Krylya Sovetov Samara's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots16 shotsKrylya Sovetov Samara 11 shots, Orenburg 16 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsKrylya Sovetov Samara 4 shots, Orenburg 4 shots
  • Expected goals3 xG0.65 xGKrylya Sovetov Samara 3 xG, Orenburg 0.65 xG
  • Possession49%51%Krylya Sovetov Samara 49%, Orenburg 51%
  • Corners5 corners11 cornersKrylya Sovetov Samara 5 corners, Orenburg 11 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls8 foulsKrylya Sovetov Samara 6 fouls, Orenburg 8 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Krylya Sovetov Samara
3Draws
1Orenburg
Orenburg — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League2–2
Orenburg — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League2–1
Krylya Sovetov Samara — Orenburg · Premier League1–1
Krylya Sovetov Samara — Orenburg · Premier League1–1
Orenburg — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League2–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Krylya Sovetov Samara favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Orenburg in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Krylya Sovetov Samara26 matchesOrenburg26 matches
1.23 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/260.85 goals/match
1.54 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/261.85 goals/match
1.58 xG/match ▲Expected goals16/181.47 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots19/19▲ 14.4 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/193.79 shots/match
48.9%Possession19/19● 51.1%
4.74 corners/matchCorners19/19● 6.84 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls19/1914.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 27 Apr 2025, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKrylya Sovetov SamaraOrenburg
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headKrylya Sovetov Samara — Orenburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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