PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Akron Togliatti 1–0 Dinamo Makhachkala · Premier League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Akron Togliatti won 1–0.

Shots
1310
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
0.870.63
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Akron Togliatti beat Dinamo Makhachkala 1–0. Recorded in this match (Akron Togliatti – Dinamo Makhachkala): shots 13–10, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 0.87–0.63, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Dinamo Makhachkala's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Dinamo Makhachkala's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.93 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match0.93 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots10 shotsAkron Togliatti 13 shots, Dinamo Makhachkala 10 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsAkron Togliatti 5 shots, Dinamo Makhachkala 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.87 xG0.63 xGAkron Togliatti 0.87 xG, Dinamo Makhachkala 0.63 xG
  • Possession50%50%Akron Togliatti 50%, Dinamo Makhachkala 50%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersAkron Togliatti 7 corners, Dinamo Makhachkala 4 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls14 foulsAkron Togliatti 16 fouls, Dinamo Makhachkala 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Akron Togliatti
1Draws
0Dinamo Makhachkala
Dinamo Makhachkala — Akron Togliatti · Premier League1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Akron Togliatti favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Dinamo Makhachkala in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Akron Togliatti27 matchesDinamo Makhachkala27 matches
1.22 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/270.93 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed27/27▲ 1.19 goals/match
1.43 xG/match ▲Expected goals17/181.1 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots18/2011.5 shots/match
3.61 shots/matchShots on target18/203.6 shots/match
47.7% ●Possession18/2041.6%
4.5 corners/matchCorners18/20● 5 corners/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls18/2013.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 2 May 2025, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAkron TogliattiDinamo Makhachkala
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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