PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Lokomotiv Moscow 2–2 CSKA Moscow · Premier League

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lokomotiv Moscow and CSKA Moscow drew 2–2.

Shots
416
Shots on target
39
Expected goals
0.621.97
Possession
32%68%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lokomotiv Moscow and CSKA Moscow drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Lokomotiv Moscow – CSKA Moscow): shots 4–16, shots on target 3–9, expected goals 0.62–1.97, possession 32%–68%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lokomotiv Moscow's recent record differs from the season

weak

Lokomotiv Moscow's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match13.7 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

CSKA Moscow have a visible away split

moderate

CSKA Moscow's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match13.7 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots4 shots16 shotsLokomotiv Moscow 4 shots, CSKA Moscow 16 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots9 shotsLokomotiv Moscow 3 shots, CSKA Moscow 9 shots
  • Expected goals0.62 xG1.97 xGLokomotiv Moscow 0.62 xG, CSKA Moscow 1.97 xG
  • Possession32%68%Lokomotiv Moscow 32%, CSKA Moscow 68%
  • Corners1 corner5 cornersLokomotiv Moscow 1 corner, CSKA Moscow 5 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls11 foulsLokomotiv Moscow 18 fouls, CSKA Moscow 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Lokomotiv Moscow
2Draws
2CSKA Moscow
CSKA Moscow — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League0–1
Lokomotiv Moscow — CSKA Moscow · Premier League3–3
CSKA Moscow — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League4–1
CSKA Moscow — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League1–1
Lokomotiv Moscow — CSKA Moscow · Premier League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lokomotiv Moscow favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · CSKA Moscow in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lokomotiv Moscow29 matchesCSKA Moscow29 matches
1.62 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/291.48 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed29/29▲ 0.69 goals/match
1.41 xG/matchExpected goals20/201.48 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShots23/2113.7 shots/match
5.09 shots/matchShots on target23/21▲ 5.71 shots/match
48.9%Possession23/21● 53.5%
4.74 corners/match ●Corners23/214.48 corners/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls23/2112.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 19 May 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLokomotiv MoscowCSKA Moscow
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headLokomotiv Moscow — CSKA Moscow
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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