PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

FC Rostov 0–1 Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Zenit St. Petersburg won 0–1.

Shots
913
Shots on target
47
Expected goals
2.272.64
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Zenit St. Petersburg beat FC Rostov 1–0. Recorded in this match (FC Rostov – Zenit St. Petersburg): shots 9–13, shots on target 4–7, expected goals 2.27–2.64, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Rostov's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Rostov's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.38 goals/match1.28 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Zenit St. Petersburg have recorded the higher season possession share.

52.1%PossessionFC Rostov · Zenit St. Petersburg● 60.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC RostovZenit St. PetersburgBaseline
Possession52.1%60.1%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots13 shotsFC Rostov 9 shots, Zenit St. Petersburg 13 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots7 shotsFC Rostov 4 shots, Zenit St. Petersburg 7 shots
  • Expected goals2.27 xG2.64 xGFC Rostov 2.27 xG, Zenit St. Petersburg 2.64 xG
  • Possession44%56%FC Rostov 44%, Zenit St. Petersburg 56%
  • Corners2 corners9 cornersFC Rostov 2 corners, Zenit St. Petersburg 9 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls6 foulsFC Rostov 17 fouls, Zenit St. Petersburg 6 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0FC Rostov
2Draws
3Zenit St. Petersburg
Zenit St. Petersburg — FC Rostov · Premier League5–0
Zenit St. Petersburg — FC Rostov · Premier League2–1
FC Rostov — Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League1–1
FC Rostov — Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League0–0
Zenit St. Petersburg — FC Rostov · Premier League3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Rostov favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Zenit St. Petersburg in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Rostov29 matchesZenit St. Petersburg29 matches
1.38 goals/matchGoals scored29/29▲ 1.86 goals/match
1.45 goals/matchGoals allowed29/29▲ 0.55 goals/match
1.66 xG/matchExpected goals20/19▲ 1.82 xG/match
14.7 shots/matchShots21/2014.2 shots/match
4.19 shots/matchShots on target21/20▲ 5.25 shots/match
52.1%Possession21/20● 60.1%
4.38 corners/matchCorners21/20● 5.5 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls21/2010.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 May 2025, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC RostovZenit St. Petersburg
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headFC Rostov — Zenit St. Petersburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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