PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

CSKA Moscow 2–0 Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

CSKA Moscow won 2–0.

Shots
239
Shots on target
84
Expected goals
3.820.6
Possession
71%29%

Full time

What the match recorded

CSKA Moscow beat Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2–0. Recorded in this match (CSKA Moscow – Pari Nizhny Novgorod): shots 23–9, shots on target 8–4, expected goals 3.82–0.6, possession 71%–29%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.9 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match0.9 goals/match1.32 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.1 shots/match ▲ShotsCSKA Moscow · Pari Nizhny Novgorod8.82 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCSKA MoscowPari Nizhny NovgorodBaseline
Shots14.1 shots/match8.82 shots/match13.9 shots/match
Shots against11.1 shots/match17.4 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

CSKA Moscow have a visible home split

moderate

CSKA Moscow's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.1 shots/match14.1 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots9 shotsCSKA Moscow 23 shots, Nizhny Novgorod 9 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots4 shotsCSKA Moscow 8 shots, Nizhny Novgorod 4 shots
  • Expected goals3.82 xG0.6 xGCSKA Moscow 3.82 xG, Nizhny Novgorod 0.6 xG
  • Possession71%29%CSKA Moscow 71%, Nizhny Novgorod 29%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersCSKA Moscow 4 corners, Nizhny Novgorod 2 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls14 foulsCSKA Moscow 10 fouls, Nizhny Novgorod 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3CSKA Moscow
1Draws
1Nizhny Novgorod
Nizhny Novgorod — CSKA Moscow · Premier League0–3
Nizhny Novgorod — CSKA Moscow · Premier League2–6
CSKA Moscow — Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League3–2
CSKA Moscow — Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League0–1
Nizhny Novgorod — CSKA Moscow · Premier League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CSKA Moscow favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Nizhny Novgorod in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CSKA Moscow30 matchesNizhny Novgorod30 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/300.9 goals/match
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/301.77 goals/match
1.59 xG/match ▲Expected goals21/211.24 xG/match
14.1 shots/match ▲Shots22/228.82 shots/match
5.82 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/223.05 shots/match
54.3% ●Possession22/2239.1%
4.45 corners/match ●Corners22/223.27 corners/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls22/2214.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 May 2025, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCSKA MoscowNizhny Novgorod
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headCSKA Moscow — Nizhny Novgorod
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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