PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Fakel Voronezh 1–1 Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fakel Voronezh and Krylya Sovetov Samara drew 1–1.

Shots
128
Shots on target
12
Expected goals
2.031.16
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fakel Voronezh and Krylya Sovetov Samara drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Fakel Voronezh – Krylya Sovetov Samara): shots 12–8, shots on target 1–2, expected goals 2.03–1.16, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fakel Voronezh's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fakel Voronezh's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.47 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.47 goals/match1.32 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots8 shotsFakel Voronezh 12 shots, Krylya Sovetov Samara 8 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot2 shotsFakel Voronezh 1 shot, Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.03 xG1.16 xGFakel Voronezh 2.03 xG, Krylya Sovetov Samara 1.16 xG
  • Possession59%41%Fakel Voronezh 59%, Krylya Sovetov Samara 41%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersFakel Voronezh 6 corners, Krylya Sovetov Samara 3 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls17 foulsFakel Voronezh 17 fouls, Krylya Sovetov Samara 17 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Fakel Voronezh
1Draws
3Krylya Sovetov Samara
Krylya Sovetov Samara — Fakel Voronezh · Premier League2–0
Fakel Voronezh — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League0–1
Krylya Sovetov Samara — Fakel Voronezh · Premier League3–0
Fakel Voronezh — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League2–1
Krylya Sovetov Samara — Fakel Voronezh · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fakel Voronezh favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Krylya Sovetov Samara in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fakel Voronezh30 matchesKrylya Sovetov Samara30 matches
0.47 goals/matchGoals scored30/30▲ 1.2 goals/match
1.37 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/301.7 goals/match
0.96 xG/matchExpected goals18/20▲ 1.44 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots21/23▲ 11.9 shots/match
2.33 shots/matchShots on target21/23▲ 4.61 shots/match
41.5%Possession21/23● 49%
4.86 corners/match ●Corners21/234.61 corners/match
15.7 fouls/matchFouls21/2311.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 May 2025, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFakel VoronezhKrylya Sovetov Samara
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headFakel Voronezh — Krylya Sovetov Samara
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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