PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

FK Krasnodar 3–0 Dynamo Moscow · Premier League

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FK Krasnodar won 3–0.

Shots
75
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
2.490.19
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

FK Krasnodar beat Dynamo Moscow 3–0. Recorded in this match (FK Krasnodar – Dynamo Moscow): shots 7–5, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 2.49–0.19, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FK Krasnodar's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FK Krasnodar's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match14.5 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots5 shotsFK Krasnodar 7 shots, Dynamo Moscow 5 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsFK Krasnodar 5 shots, Dynamo Moscow 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.49 xG0.19 xGFK Krasnodar 2.49 xG, Dynamo Moscow 0.19 xG
  • Possession56%44%FK Krasnodar 56%, Dynamo Moscow 44%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersFK Krasnodar 3 corners, Dynamo Moscow 5 corners
  • Fouls24 fouls17 foulsFK Krasnodar 24 fouls, Dynamo Moscow 17 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4FK Krasnodar
1Draws
0Dynamo Moscow
Dynamo Moscow — FK Krasnodar · Premier League0–1
FK Krasnodar — Dynamo Moscow · Premier League1–0
Dynamo Moscow — FK Krasnodar · Premier League1–3
FK Krasnodar — Dynamo Moscow · Premier League3–1
Dynamo Moscow — FK Krasnodar · Premier League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FK Krasnodar favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Dynamo Moscow in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FK Krasnodar30 matchesDynamo Moscow30 matches
1.97 goals/matchGoals scored30/302.03 goals/match
0.77 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/301.17 goals/match
1.93 xG/match ▲Expected goals25/201.74 xG/match
14.5 shots/matchShots27/22▲ 16 shots/match
5.04 shots/matchShots on target27/22▲ 6.05 shots/match
56.6% ●Possession27/2252.1%
4.26 corners/matchCorners27/22● 5.73 corners/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls27/2211.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 May 2025, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFK KrasnodarDynamo Moscow
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headFK Krasnodar — Dynamo Moscow
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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