PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Rubin Kazan 4–2 Orenburg · Premier League

4–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Rubin Kazan won 4–2.

Shots
1917
Shots on target
94
Expected goals
2.821.62
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rubin Kazan beat Orenburg 4–2. Recorded in this match (Rubin Kazan – Orenburg): shots 19–17, shots on target 9–4, expected goals 2.82–1.62, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rubin Kazan's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rubin Kazan's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.37 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.37 goals/match1.32 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots17 shotsRubin Kazan 19 shots, Orenburg 17 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots4 shotsRubin Kazan 9 shots, Orenburg 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.82 xG1.62 xGRubin Kazan 2.82 xG, Orenburg 1.62 xG
  • Possession46%54%Rubin Kazan 46%, Orenburg 54%
  • Corners5 corners7 cornersRubin Kazan 5 corners, Orenburg 7 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls15 foulsRubin Kazan 8 fouls, Orenburg 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Rubin Kazan
1Draws
1Orenburg
Orenburg — Rubin Kazan · Premier League1–2
Orenburg — Rubin Kazan · Premier League3–0
Rubin Kazan — Orenburg · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rubin Kazan favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Orenburg in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rubin Kazan30 matchesOrenburg30 matches
1.37 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/300.9 goals/match
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/301.87 goals/match
1.46 xG/matchExpected goals18/221.48 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots20/23▲ 15.3 shots/match
3.95 shots/matchShots on target20/23▲ 4.35 shots/match
43.8%Possession20/23● 51.1%
3.85 corners/matchCorners20/23● 7 corners/match
15.6 fouls/matchFouls20/2314.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 May 2025, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRubin KazanOrenburg
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headRubin Kazan — Orenburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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