PitchMath
Primera División · 2023

Deportes Magallanes 1–2 Curicó Unido · Primera División

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Curicó Unido won 1–2.

Shots
129
Shots on target
16
Expected goals
0.591.53
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

Curicó Unido beat Deportes Magallanes 2–1. Recorded in this match (Deportes Magallanes – Curicó Unido): shots 12–9, shots on target 1–6, expected goals 0.59–1.53, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Deportes Magallanes's recent record differs from the season

weak

Deportes Magallanes's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1 goal/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Deportes Magallanes have recorded the higher season possession share.

61.7% ●PossessionDeportes Magallanes · Curicó Unido48.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricDeportes MagallanesCuricó UnidoBaseline
Possession61.7%48.2%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots9 shotsDeportes Magallanes 12 shots, Curicó Unido 9 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot6 shotsDeportes Magallanes 1 shot, Curicó Unido 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.59 xG1.53 xGDeportes Magallanes 0.59 xG, Curicó Unido 1.53 xG
  • Possession68%32%Deportes Magallanes 68%, Curicó Unido 32%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersDeportes Magallanes 5 corners, Curicó Unido 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls13 foulsDeportes Magallanes 11 fouls, Curicó Unido 13 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportes Magallanes favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Curicó Unido in 6

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportes Magallanes12 matchesCuricó Unido13 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored12/13▲ 1.31 goals/match
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals allowed12/131.92 goals/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goals12/13▲ 1.58 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots12/13▲ 13.4 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target12/13▲ 4 shots/match
61.7% ●Possession12/1348.2%
4.42 corners/matchCorners12/13● 5.23 corners/match
9.67 fouls/matchFouls12/138.62 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 9 May 2023, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDeportes MagallanesCuricó Unido
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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