PitchMath
Primera División · 2023

Ñublense 1–0 Deportes Copiapó · Primera División

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ñublense won 1–0.

Shots
1615
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
1.331.79
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ñublense beat Deportes Copiapó 1–0. Recorded in this match (Ñublense – Deportes Copiapó): shots 16–15, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 1.33–1.79, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ñublense's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ñublense's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.23 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.23 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Ñublense have a visible home split

moderate

Ñublense's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14 shots/match11.5 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots15 shotsÑublense 16 shots, Deportes Copiapó 15 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsÑublense 6 shots, Deportes Copiapó 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.33 xG1.79 xGÑublense 1.33 xG, Deportes Copiapó 1.79 xG
  • Possession53%47%Ñublense 53%, Deportes Copiapó 47%
  • Corners2 corners7 cornersÑublense 2 corners, Deportes Copiapó 7 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls8 foulsÑublense 6 fouls, Deportes Copiapó 8 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ñublense favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Deportes Copiapó in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ñublense13 matchesDeportes Copiapó13 matches
1.23 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/130.85 goals/match
1.54 goals/matchGoals allowed13/131.54 goals/match
1.1 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲ 1.42 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots13/13▲ 13.1 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲ 4.54 shots/match
50.2% ●Possession13/1345.3%
3 corners/matchCorners13/13● 5.23 corners/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls13/1311.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 10 May 2023, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsÑublenseDeportes Copiapó
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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