PitchMath
Primera División · 2023

Cobresal 1–0 O'Higgins · Primera División

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cobresal won 1–0.

Shots
915
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.210.81
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cobresal beat O'Higgins 1–0. Recorded in this match (Cobresal – O'Higgins): shots 9–15, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.21–0.81, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

O'Higgins's recent record differs from the season

moderate

O'Higgins's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.23 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.23 goals/match1.31 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots15 shotsCobresal 9 shots, O'Higgins 15 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsCobresal 6 shots, O'Higgins 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.21 xG0.81 xGCobresal 1.21 xG, O'Higgins 0.81 xG
  • Possession53%47%Cobresal 53%, O'Higgins 47%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersCobresal 7 corners, O'Higgins 3 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls8 foulsCobresal 8 fouls, O'Higgins 8 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Cobresal
0Draws
1O'Higgins
O'Higgins — Cobresal · Primera División1–0
Cobresal — O'Higgins · Primera División2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cobresal favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · O'Higgins in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cobresal13 matchesO'Higgins13 matches
2.08 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/131.23 goals/match
1.08 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/131.15 goals/match
1.74 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/131.45 xG/match
14.6 shots/matchShots12/1314.4 shots/match
5.25 shots/match ▲Shots on target12/134.54 shots/match
45.7%Possession12/13● 50.7%
4.75 corners/matchCorners12/13● 5 corners/match
8.83 fouls/matchFouls12/1310.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 11 May 2023, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCobresalO'Higgins
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2023
Head-to-headCobresal — O'Higgins
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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