PitchMath
Primera División · 2023

Universidad Católica 1–2 Huachipato · Primera División

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Huachipato won 1–2.

Shots
2014
Shots on target
76
Expected goals
3.062.1
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Huachipato beat Universidad Católica 2–1. Recorded in this match (Universidad Católica – Huachipato): shots 20–14, shots on target 7–6, expected goals 3.06–2.1, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Universidad Católica's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Universidad Católica's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.77 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.77 goals/match1.31 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots14 shotsUniversidad Católica 20 shots, Huachipato 14 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots6 shotsUniversidad Católica 7 shots, Huachipato 6 shots
  • Expected goals3.06 xG2.1 xGUniversidad Católica 3.06 xG, Huachipato 2.1 xG
  • Possession54%46%Universidad Católica 54%, Huachipato 46%
  • Corners9 corners2 cornersUniversidad Católica 9 corners, Huachipato 2 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls10 foulsUniversidad Católica 8 fouls, Huachipato 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Universidad Católica
0Draws
1Huachipato
Universidad Católica — Huachipato · Primera División1–0
Huachipato — Universidad Católica · Primera División1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Universidad Católica favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Huachipato in 5 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Universidad Católica13 matchesHuachipato12 matches
1.77 goals/matchGoals scored13/121.75 goals/match
1.46 goals/matchGoals allowed13/12▲ 1 goal/match
1.48 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/121.39 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots13/1212.7 shots/match
5.15 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/124.42 shots/match
56.5% ●Possession13/1256.1%
5.08 corners/match ●Corners13/124.92 corners/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls13/1210.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 11 May 2023, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsUniversidad CatólicaHuachipato
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2023
Head-to-headUniversidad Católica — Huachipato
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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