PitchMath
Primera División · 2023

Ñublense 1–2 Cobresal · Primera División

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cobresal won 1–2.

Shots
188
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
0.831.1
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cobresal beat Ñublense 2–1. Recorded in this match (Ñublense – Cobresal): shots 18–8, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 0.83–1.1, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ñublense's recent record differs from the season

weak

Ñublense's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.05 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.05 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cobresal have a visible away split

moderate

Cobresal's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match13.4 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots8 shotsÑublense 18 shots, Cobresal 8 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsÑublense 3 shots, Cobresal 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.83 xG1.1 xGÑublense 0.83 xG, Cobresal 1.1 xG
  • Possession56%44%Ñublense 56%, Cobresal 44%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersÑublense 7 corners, Cobresal 2 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls9 foulsÑublense 15 fouls, Cobresal 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Ñublense
2Draws
0Cobresal
Cobresal — Ñublense · Primera División1–1
Ñublense — Cobresal · Primera División3–2
Cobresal — Ñublense · Primera División1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ñublense favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Cobresal in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ñublense20 matchesCobresal20 matches
1.05 goals/matchGoals scored20/20▲ 1.85 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed20/20▲ 0.9 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals20/19▲ 1.67 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots20/19▲ 13.4 shots/match
4.15 shots/matchShots on target20/19▲ 4.68 shots/match
49.3% ●Possession20/1946.5%
3.05 corners/matchCorners20/19● 4.79 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls20/199.58 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Aug 2023, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsÑublenseCobresal
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2023
Head-to-headÑublense — Cobresal
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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