Primera División · 2023

O'Higgins 1–2 Ñublense · Primera División

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ñublense won 1–2.

Shots
1311
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
1.581.64
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ñublense beat O'Higgins 2–1. Recorded in this match (O'Higgins – Ñublense): shots 13–11, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 1.58–1.64, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

O'Higgins's recent record differs from the season

moderate

O'Higgins's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.05 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.05 goals/match1.28 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Ñublense.

6.02 days ▲Rest daysO'Higgins · Ñublense3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricO'HigginsÑublenseBaseline
Rest days6.02 days3 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Ñublense have a visible away split

moderate

Ñublense's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match11.3 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots11 shotsO'Higgins 13 shots, Ñublense 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsO'Higgins 3 shots, Ñublense 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.58 xG1.64 xGO'Higgins 1.58 xG, Ñublense 1.64 xG
  • Possession47%53%O'Higgins 47%, Ñublense 53%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersO'Higgins 4 corners, Ñublense 6 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls12 foulsO'Higgins 16 fouls, Ñublense 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1O'Higgins
1Draws
1Ñublense
Ñublense — O'Higgins · Primera División2–1
Ñublense — O'Higgins · Primera División2–2
O'Higgins — Ñublense · Primera División1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: O'Higgins favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Ñublense in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

O'Higgins19 matchesÑublense19 matches
1.05 goals/matchGoals scored19/191.05 goals/match
1.26 goals/match ▲Goals allowed19/191.37 goals/match
1.32 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/191.08 xG/match
14.6 shots/match ▲Shots19/1911.3 shots/match
4.26 shots/matchShots on target19/194.21 shots/match
52.1% ●Possession19/1948.9%
5 corners/match ●Corners19/192.84 corners/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls19/1911.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Jul 2023, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

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