PitchMath
Primera División · 2023

Palestino 2–1 Unión Española · Primera División

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Palestino won 2–1.

Shots
98
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
0.941.11
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Palestino beat Unión Española 2–1. Recorded in this match (Palestino – Unión Española): shots 9–8, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 0.94–1.11, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Palestino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Palestino's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.58 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.58 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots8 shotsPalestino 9 shots, Unión Española 8 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsPalestino 5 shots, Unión Española 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.94 xG1.11 xGPalestino 0.94 xG, Unión Española 1.11 xG
  • Possession47%53%Palestino 47%, Unión Española 53%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersPalestino 4 corners, Unión Española 3 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls7 foulsPalestino 8 fouls, Unión Española 7 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Palestino
1Draws
1Unión Española
Unión Española — Palestino · Primera División2–0
Palestino — Unión Española · Primera División1–0
Unión Española — Palestino · Primera División1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Palestino favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Unión Española in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Palestino24 matchesUnión Española24 matches
1.58 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/241.29 goals/match
1.46 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲ 1 goal/match
1.4 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/241.21 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots24/2413.1 shots/match
4.33 shots/matchShots on target24/24▲ 4.71 shots/match
49.3%Possession24/24● 49.7%
4.63 corners/matchCorners24/24● 4.79 corners/match
10 fouls/matchFouls24/249.38 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Sept 2023, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPalestinoUnión Española
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2023
Head-to-headPalestino — Unión Española
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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