PitchMath
Primera División · 2023

Cobresal 2–1 Palestino · Primera División

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cobresal won 2–1.

Shots
1614
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
1.261.32
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cobresal beat Palestino 2–1. Recorded in this match (Cobresal – Palestino): shots 16–14, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 1.26–1.32, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cobresal have a visible home split

moderate

Cobresal's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16 shots/match13.1 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots14 shotsCobresal 16 shots, Palestino 14 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsCobresal 3 shots, Palestino 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.26 xG1.32 xGCobresal 1.26 xG, Palestino 1.32 xG
  • Possession55%45%Cobresal 55%, Palestino 45%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersCobresal 3 corners, Palestino 3 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls14 foulsCobresal 9 fouls, Palestino 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Cobresal
0Draws
1Palestino
Palestino — Cobresal · Primera División1–5
Cobresal — Palestino · Primera División1–0
Palestino — Cobresal · Primera División3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cobresal favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Palestino in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cobresal25 matchesPalestino25 matches
1.88 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/251.56 goals/match
1.2 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/251.48 goals/match
1.6 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/251.4 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots24/2513.6 shots/match
4.83 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/254.24 shots/match
47%Possession24/25● 49.2%
4.42 corners/matchCorners24/25● 4.56 corners/match
9.42 fouls/matchFouls24/2510.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 2 Oct 2023, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCobresalPalestino
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2023
Head-to-headCobresal — Palestino
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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