PitchMath
Primera División · 2024

Palestino 4–1 O'Higgins · Primera División

4–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Palestino won 4–1.

Shots
127
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
3.630.52
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Palestino beat O'Higgins 4–1. Recorded in this match (Palestino – O'Higgins): shots 12–7, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 3.63–0.52, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

O'Higgins's recent record differs from the season

moderate

O'Higgins's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.37 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.37 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots7 shotsPalestino 12 shots, O'Higgins 7 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsPalestino 5 shots, O'Higgins 2 shots
  • Expected goals3.63 xG0.52 xGPalestino 3.63 xG, O'Higgins 0.52 xG
  • Possession51%49%Palestino 51%, O'Higgins 49%
  • Corners5 corners0 cornersPalestino 5 corners, O'Higgins 0 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls11 foulsPalestino 10 fouls, O'Higgins 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Palestino
0Draws
1O'Higgins
O'Higgins — Palestino · Primera División0–1
O'Higgins — Palestino · Primera División0–1
Palestino — O'Higgins · Primera División0–1
O'Higgins — Palestino · Primera División1–2
Palestino — O'Higgins · Primera División1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Palestino favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · O'Higgins in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Palestino19 matchesO'Higgins19 matches
1.42 goals/matchGoals scored19/191.37 goals/match
1.05 goals/match ▲Goals allowed19/191.68 goals/match
1.34 xG/matchExpected goals19/191.31 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots19/19▲ 13.6 shots/match
3.95 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲ 4.53 shots/match
50.8% ●Possession19/1947.5%
4.95 corners/match ●Corners19/194.84 corners/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls19/1913.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 9 Aug 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPalestinoO'Higgins
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2024
Head-to-headPalestino — O'Higgins
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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