PitchMath
Primera División · 2024

Huachipato 1–0 O'Higgins · Primera División

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Huachipato won 1–0.

Shots
717
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
0.462.64
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Huachipato beat O'Higgins 1–0. Recorded in this match (Huachipato – O'Higgins): shots 7–17, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 0.46–2.64, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

O'Higgins's recent record differs from the season

weak

O'Higgins's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.3 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.3 goals/match1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Huachipato have a visible home split

moderate

Huachipato's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.5 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots17 shotsHuachipato 7 shots, O'Higgins 17 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsHuachipato 2 shots, O'Higgins 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.46 xG2.64 xGHuachipato 0.46 xG, O'Higgins 2.64 xG
  • Possession41%59%Huachipato 41%, O'Higgins 59%
  • Corners1 corner7 cornersHuachipato 1 corner, O'Higgins 7 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls15 foulsHuachipato 15 fouls, O'Higgins 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Huachipato
2Draws
1O'Higgins
O'Higgins — Huachipato · Primera División0–0
Huachipato — O'Higgins · Primera División2–0
O'Higgins — Huachipato · Primera División0–1
Huachipato — O'Higgins · Primera División1–2
O'Higgins — Huachipato · Primera División1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Huachipato favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · O'Higgins in 4 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Huachipato22 matchesO'Higgins23 matches
0.82 goals/matchGoals scored22/23▲ 1.3 goals/match
1.41 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/231.7 goals/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goals22/231.37 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots22/2313.9 shots/match
4.45 shots/matchShots on target22/23▲ 4.74 shots/match
52.6% ●Possession22/2347%
4.59 corners/matchCorners22/23● 5.22 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls22/2313.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Sept 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHuachipatoO'Higgins
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2024
Head-to-headHuachipato — O'Higgins
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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