Primera División · 2024

Ñublense 1–0 Cobresal · Primera División

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ñublense won 1–0.

Shots
179
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
1.860.77
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ñublense beat Cobresal 1–0. Recorded in this match (Ñublense – Cobresal): shots 17–9, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 1.86–0.77, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ñublense's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ñublense's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.38 goals/match1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Ñublense show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Ñublense's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsÑublense · Cobresal13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricÑublenseCobresalBaseline
Shots13 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against13.6 shots/match17.3 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots9 shotsÑublense 17 shots, Cobresal 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsÑublense 4 shots, Cobresal 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.86 xG0.77 xGÑublense 1.86 xG, Cobresal 0.77 xG
  • Possession42%58%Ñublense 42%, Cobresal 58%
  • Corners1 corner4 cornersÑublense 1 corner, Cobresal 4 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls8 foulsÑublense 16 fouls, Cobresal 8 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Ñublense
3Draws
1Cobresal
Cobresal — Ñublense · Primera División2–2
Ñublense — Cobresal · Primera División1–2
Cobresal — Ñublense · Primera División1–1
Ñublense — Cobresal · Primera División3–2
Cobresal — Ñublense · Primera División1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ñublense favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Cobresal in 4

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ñublense24 matchesCobresal24 matches
1.38 goals/matchGoals scored24/24▲ 1.54 goals/match
1.13 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/241.71 goals/match
1.53 xG/matchExpected goals24/24▲ 1.66 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots24/24▲ 13.8 shots/match
4.75 shots/matchShots on target24/24▲ 5 shots/match
46.2%Possession24/24● 48%
5 corners/match ●Corners24/244.67 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls24/2411 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Sept 2024, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

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