PitchMath
Primera División · 2024

Cobreloa 0–1 Ñublense · Primera División

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ñublense won 0–1.

Shots
2610
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
1.260.26
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ñublense beat Cobreloa 1–0. Recorded in this match (Cobreloa – Ñublense): shots 26–10, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 1.26–0.26, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cobreloa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cobreloa's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.92 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.92 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cobreloa have a visible home split

strong

Cobreloa's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.1 shots/match13.2 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots26 shots10 shotsCobreloa 26 shots, Ñublense 10 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsCobreloa 4 shots, Ñublense 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.26 xG0.26 xGCobreloa 1.26 xG, Ñublense 0.26 xG
  • Possession68%32%Cobreloa 68%, Ñublense 32%
  • Corners6 corners0 cornersCobreloa 6 corners, Ñublense 0 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls12 foulsCobreloa 10 fouls, Ñublense 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Cobreloa
0Draws
1Ñublense
Ñublense — Cobreloa · Primera División6–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cobreloa favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Ñublense in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cobreloa25 matchesÑublense25 matches
0.92 goals/matchGoals scored25/25▲ 1.36 goals/match
2.12 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 1.08 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals25/25▲ 1.48 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots25/2512.8 shots/match
4.28 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲ 4.72 shots/match
48.7% ●Possession25/2545.6%
4.36 corners/matchCorners25/25● 4.8 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls25/2512.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 25 Sept 2024, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCobreloaÑublense
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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