PitchMath
Primera División · 2024

Ñublense 0–1 Unión La Calera · Primera División

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Unión La Calera won 0–1.

Shots
910
Shots on target
12
Expected goals
1.190.63
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Unión La Calera beat Ñublense 1–0. Recorded in this match (Ñublense – Unión La Calera): shots 9–10, shots on target 1–2, expected goals 1.19–0.63, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Unión La Calera's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Unión La Calera's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.04 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.04 goals/match1.37 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots10 shotsÑublense 9 shots, Unión La Calera 10 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot2 shotsÑublense 1 shot, Unión La Calera 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.19 xG0.63 xGÑublense 1.19 xG, Unión La Calera 0.63 xG
  • Possession63%37%Ñublense 63%, Unión La Calera 37%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersÑublense 5 corners, Unión La Calera 2 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls11 foulsÑublense 11 fouls, Unión La Calera 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Ñublense
4Draws
1Unión La Calera
Unión La Calera — Ñublense · Primera División2–1
Ñublense — Unión La Calera · Primera División1–1
Unión La Calera — Ñublense · Primera División1–1
Unión La Calera — Ñublense · Primera División2–2
Ñublense — Unión La Calera · Primera División0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ñublense favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Unión La Calera in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ñublense26 matchesUnión La Calera24 matches
1.31 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/241.04 goals/match
1.08 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/241.5 goals/match
1.47 xG/match ▲Expected goals26/241.16 xG/match
12.7 shots/match ▲Shots26/2411.6 shots/match
4.58 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/244.21 shots/match
46.3% ●Possession26/2444.4%
4.81 corners/match ●Corners26/243.75 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls26/2411 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 29 Sept 2024, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsÑublenseUnión La Calera
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2024
Head-to-headÑublense — Unión La Calera
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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