PitchMath
Primera División · 2024

Unión Española 2–3 Palestino · Primera División

2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Palestino won 2–3.

Shots
1618
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
1.911.54
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Palestino beat Unión Española 3–2. Recorded in this match (Unión Española – Palestino): shots 16–18, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 1.91–1.54, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Palestino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Palestino's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.52 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.52 goals/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots18 shotsUnión Española 16 shots, Palestino 18 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsUnión Española 3 shots, Palestino 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.91 xG1.54 xGUnión Española 1.91 xG, Palestino 1.54 xG
  • Possession62%38%Unión Española 62%, Palestino 38%
  • Corners7 corners7 cornersUnión Española 7 corners, Palestino 7 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls13 foulsUnión Española 8 fouls, Palestino 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Unión Española
1Draws
2Palestino
Palestino — Unión Española · Primera División0–1
Palestino — Unión Española · Primera División2–1
Unión Española — Palestino · Primera División2–0
Palestino — Unión Española · Primera División1–0
Unión Española — Palestino · Primera División1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Unión Española favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Palestino in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Unión Española29 matchesPalestino29 matches
1.83 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/291.52 goals/match
1.48 goals/matchGoals allowed29/29▲ 1.14 goals/match
1.84 xG/match ▲Expected goals28/281.43 xG/match
14.4 shots/match ▲Shots29/2912.4 shots/match
5.31 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/293.93 shots/match
54.1% ●Possession29/2949.1%
5.14 corners/match ●Corners29/294.69 corners/match
9.93 fouls/matchFouls29/2912 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 Nov 2024, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsUnión EspañolaPalestino
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2024
Head-to-headUnión Española — Palestino
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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