PitchMath
Primera División · 2024

Palestino 2–0 Audax Italiano · Primera División

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Palestino won 2–0.

Shots
918
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
0.781.06
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Palestino beat Audax Italiano 2–0. Recorded in this match (Palestino – Audax Italiano): shots 9–18, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.78–1.06, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Palestino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Palestino's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.53 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.53 goals/match1.37 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots18 shotsPalestino 9 shots, Audax Italiano 18 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsPalestino 2 shots, Audax Italiano 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.78 xG1.06 xGPalestino 0.78 xG, Audax Italiano 1.06 xG
  • Possession57%43%Palestino 57%, Audax Italiano 43%
  • Corners4 corners7 cornersPalestino 4 corners, Audax Italiano 7 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls9 foulsPalestino 7 fouls, Audax Italiano 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Palestino
2Draws
1Audax Italiano
Audax Italiano — Palestino · Primera División1–2
Audax Italiano — Palestino · Primera División0–3
Palestino — Audax Italiano · Primera División1–1
Palestino — Audax Italiano · Primera División3–3
Audax Italiano — Palestino · Primera División3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Palestino favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Audax Italiano in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Palestino30 matchesAudax Italiano30 matches
1.53 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/301.2 goals/match
1.1 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/301.3 goals/match
1.41 xG/matchExpected goals29/301.35 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots30/3012.2 shots/match
3.87 shots/matchShots on target30/30▲ 4.33 shots/match
49.3% ●Possession30/3045.6%
4.67 corners/match ●Corners30/304.3 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls30/3010.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 Nov 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPalestinoAudax Italiano
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2024
Head-to-headPalestino — Audax Italiano
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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