PitchMath
Primera División · 2025

Cobresal 1–1 Universidad Católica · Primera División

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cobresal and Universidad Católica drew 1–1.

Shots
1514
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
0.71.19
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cobresal and Universidad Católica drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Cobresal – Universidad Católica): shots 15–14, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 0.7–1.19, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Universidad Católica's recent record differs from the season

weak

Universidad Católica's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.33 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Universidad Católica have recorded the higher season possession share.

45%PossessionCobresal · Universidad Católica● 54%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCobresalUniversidad CatólicaBaseline
Possession45%54%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots14 shotsCobresal 15 shots, Universidad Católica 14 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsCobresal 3 shots, Universidad Católica 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.7 xG1.19 xGCobresal 0.7 xG, Universidad Católica 1.19 xG
  • Possession53%47%Cobresal 53%, Universidad Católica 47%
  • Corners6 corners6 cornersCobresal 6 corners, Universidad Católica 6 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls13 foulsCobresal 12 fouls, Universidad Católica 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Cobresal
2Draws
2Universidad Católica
Cobresal — Universidad Católica · Primera División3–1
Universidad Católica — Cobresal · Primera División2–0
Cobresal — Universidad Católica · Primera División2–2
Universidad Católica — Cobresal · Primera División3–3
Universidad Católica — Cobresal · Primera División1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cobresal favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Universidad Católica in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cobresal7 matchesUniversidad Católica6 matches
1.29 goals/matchGoals scored7/61.33 goals/match
1.14 goals/matchGoals allowed7/6▲ 0.83 goals/match
1.26 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/61.07 xG/match
14.3 shots/match ▲Shots7/611.8 shots/match
3.43 shots/matchShots on target7/6▲ 4 shots/match
45%Possession7/6● 54%
3.86 corners/match ●Corners7/63.33 corners/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls7/613.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 12 Apr 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCobresalUniversidad Católica
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2025
Head-to-headCobresal — Universidad Católica
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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