PitchMath
Primera División · 2025

Universidad Católica 2–1 Deportes Limache · Primera División

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Universidad Católica won 2–1.

Shots
188
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
2.881.01
Possession
70%30%

Full time

What the match recorded

Universidad Católica beat Deportes Limache 2–1. Recorded in this match (Universidad Católica – Deportes Limache): shots 18–8, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 2.88–1.01, possession 70%–30%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Universidad Católica have a visible home split

weak

Universidad Católica's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15 shots/match12.7 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Deportes Limache show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Deportes Limache's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.7 shots/match ▲ShotsUniversidad Católica · Deportes Limache13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricUniversidad CatólicaDeportes LimacheBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against9.71 shots/match15.5 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Universidad Católica have recorded the higher season possession share.

56.3% ●PossessionUniversidad Católica · Deportes Limache46.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricUniversidad CatólicaDeportes LimacheBaseline
Possession56.3%46.6%50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots8 shotsUniversidad Católica 18 shots, Deportes Limache 8 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsUniversidad Católica 5 shots, Deportes Limache 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.88 xG1.01 xGUniversidad Católica 2.88 xG, Deportes Limache 1.01 xG
  • Possession70%30%Universidad Católica 70%, Deportes Limache 30%
  • Corners7 corners5 cornersUniversidad Católica 7 corners, Deportes Limache 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls22 foulsUniversidad Católica 11 fouls, Deportes Limache 22 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Universidad Católica favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Deportes Limache in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Universidad Católica7 matchesDeportes Limache8 matches
1.43 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/81.25 goals/match
0.86 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/81.88 goals/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goals7/8▲ 1.48 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots7/813.3 shots/match
4.14 shots/matchShots on target7/8▲ 4.88 shots/match
56.3% ●Possession7/846.6%
3.86 corners/matchCorners7/8● 5.5 corners/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls7/812 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Apr 2025, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsUniversidad CatólicaDeportes Limache
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2025
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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