PitchMath
Primera División · 2025

Huachipato 0–1 Ñublense · Primera División

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ñublense won 0–1.

Shots
916
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
0.771.59
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ñublense beat Huachipato 1–0. Recorded in this match (Huachipato – Ñublense): shots 9–16, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 0.77–1.59, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ñublense's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ñublense's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.85 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.85 goals/match1.28 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots16 shotsHuachipato 9 shots, Ñublense 16 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsHuachipato 2 shots, Ñublense 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.77 xG1.59 xGHuachipato 0.77 xG, Ñublense 1.59 xG
  • Possession43%57%Huachipato 43%, Ñublense 57%
  • Corners0 corners3 cornersHuachipato 0 corners, Ñublense 3 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls15 foulsHuachipato 18 fouls, Ñublense 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Huachipato
0Draws
2Ñublense
Huachipato — Ñublense · Primera División1–0
Ñublense — Huachipato · Primera División3–0
Ñublense — Huachipato · Primera División0–1
Huachipato — Ñublense · Primera División2–0
Ñublense — Huachipato · Primera División2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Huachipato favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Ñublense in 4 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Huachipato13 matchesÑublense13 matches
1.38 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/130.85 goals/match
1.54 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲ 1.38 goals/match
1.24 xG/matchExpected goals13/131.26 xG/match
10.3 shots/matchShots12/13▲ 12.5 shots/match
4.08 shots/match ▲Shots on target12/133.23 shots/match
49.1% ●Possession12/1348.6%
3.92 corners/matchCorners12/13● 4.23 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls12/1312.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 May 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHuachipatoÑublense
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2025
Head-to-headHuachipato — Ñublense
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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