PitchMath
Primera División · 2025

Deportes Limache 0–1 Universidad Católica · Primera División

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Universidad Católica won 0–1.

Shots
1514
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.251.49
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Universidad Católica beat Deportes Limache 1–0. Recorded in this match (Deportes Limache – Universidad Católica): shots 15–14, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.25–1.49, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Universidad Católica's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Universidad Católica's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.55 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.55 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Deportes Limache show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Deportes Limache's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.2 shots/match ▲ShotsDeportes Limache · Universidad Católica12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDeportes LimacheUniversidad CatólicaBaseline
Shots12.2 shots/match12.2 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against15.9 shots/match10.8 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Universidad Católica have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.6%PossessionDeportes Limache · Universidad Católica● 54.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricDeportes LimacheUniversidad CatólicaBaseline
Possession43.6%54.8%50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots14 shotsDeportes Limache 15 shots, Universidad Católica 14 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsDeportes Limache 4 shots, Universidad Católica 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.25 xG1.49 xGDeportes Limache 1.25 xG, Universidad Católica 1.49 xG
  • Possession49%51%Deportes Limache 49%, Universidad Católica 51%
  • Corners7 corners1 cornerDeportes Limache 7 corners, Universidad Católica 1 corner
  • Fouls15 fouls15 foulsDeportes Limache 15 fouls, Universidad Católica 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Deportes Limache
0Draws
1Universidad Católica
Universidad Católica — Deportes Limache · Primera División2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportes Limache favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Universidad Católica in 8 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportes Limache23 matchesUniversidad Católica22 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored23/22▲ 1.55 goals/match
1.48 goals/matchGoals allowed23/22▲ 1 goal/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals23/21▲ 1.52 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots23/2212.2 shots/match
3.91 shots/matchShots on target23/22▲ 4.36 shots/match
43.6%Possession23/22● 54.8%
4.83 corners/match ●Corners23/224.41 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls23/2213.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 Sept 2025, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDeportes LimacheUniversidad Católica
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2025
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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