PitchMath
Primera División · 2025

Palestino 1–2 O'Higgins · Primera División

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

O'Higgins won 1–2.

Shots
88
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
1.321.32
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

O'Higgins beat Palestino 2–1. Recorded in this match (Palestino – O'Higgins): shots 8–8, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 1.32–1.32, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

O'Higgins's recent record differs from the season

moderate

O'Higgins's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.26 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.26 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots8 shotsPalestino 8 shots, O'Higgins 8 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsPalestino 3 shots, O'Higgins 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.32 xG1.32 xGPalestino 1.32 xG, O'Higgins 1.32 xG
  • Possession65%35%Palestino 65%, O'Higgins 35%
  • Corners7 corners0 cornersPalestino 7 corners, O'Higgins 0 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls22 foulsPalestino 20 fouls, O'Higgins 22 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Palestino
0Draws
2O'Higgins
O'Higgins — Palestino · Primera División1–0
Palestino — O'Higgins · Primera División4–1
O'Higgins — Palestino · Primera División0–1
O'Higgins — Palestino · Primera División0–1
Palestino — O'Higgins · Primera División0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Palestino favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · O'Higgins in 5 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Palestino23 matchesO'Higgins23 matches
1.26 goals/matchGoals scored23/231.26 goals/match
0.96 goals/match ▲Goals allowed23/231.13 goals/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goals23/231.45 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShots23/23▲ 15.8 shots/match
4.96 shots/match ▲Shots on target23/234.22 shots/match
57% ●Possession23/2352%
5.17 corners/match ●Corners23/235.13 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls23/2312.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Sept 2025, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPalestinoO'Higgins
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2025
Head-to-headPalestino — O'Higgins
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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