PitchMath
Primera División · 2025

Ñublense 0–1 Huachipato · Primera División

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Huachipato won 0–1.

Shots
2511
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
1.470.85
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Huachipato beat Ñublense 1–0. Recorded in this match (Ñublense – Huachipato): shots 25–11, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 1.47–0.85, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ñublense's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ñublense's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.93 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.93 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots25 shots11 shotsÑublense 25 shots, Huachipato 11 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsÑublense 2 shots, Huachipato 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.47 xG0.85 xGÑublense 1.47 xG, Huachipato 0.85 xG
  • Possession60%40%Ñublense 60%, Huachipato 40%
  • Corners4 corners1 cornerÑublense 4 corners, Huachipato 1 corner
  • Fouls16 fouls6 foulsÑublense 16 fouls, Huachipato 6 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Ñublense
0Draws
3Huachipato
Huachipato — Ñublense · Primera División0–1
Huachipato — Ñublense · Primera División1–0
Ñublense — Huachipato · Primera División3–0
Ñublense — Huachipato · Primera División0–1
Huachipato — Ñublense · Primera División2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ñublense favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Huachipato in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ñublense28 matchesHuachipato28 matches
0.93 goals/matchGoals scored28/28▲ 1.46 goals/match
1.39 goals/matchGoals allowed28/281.43 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals27/27▲ 1.35 xG/match
12.4 shots/match ▲Shots28/2611.5 shots/match
3.14 shots/matchShots on target28/26▲ 4.77 shots/match
51.5% ●Possession28/2648.2%
4.25 corners/matchCorners28/26● 4.35 corners/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls28/2610.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 25 Nov 2025, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsÑublenseHuachipato
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2025
Head-to-headÑublense — Huachipato
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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