Primera División · 2025

Audax Italiano 1–0 Ñublense · Primera División

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Audax Italiano won 1–0.

Shots
420
Shots on target
12
Expected goals
0.841.48
Possession
29%71%

Full time

What the match recorded

Audax Italiano beat Ñublense 1–0. Recorded in this match (Audax Italiano – Ñublense): shots 4–20, shots on target 1–2, expected goals 0.84–1.48, possession 29%–71%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ñublense's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ñublense's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.9 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.9 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Audax Italiano have a visible home split

moderate

Audax Italiano's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.5 shots/match12.6 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Ñublense have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.8%PossessionAudax Italiano · Ñublense● 52.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAudax ItalianoÑublenseBaseline
Possession43.8%52.1%49.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots4 shots20 shotsAudax Italiano 4 shots, Ñublense 20 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot2 shotsAudax Italiano 1 shot, Ñublense 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.84 xG1.48 xGAudax Italiano 0.84 xG, Ñublense 1.48 xG
  • Possession29%71%Audax Italiano 29%, Ñublense 71%
  • Corners0 corners5 cornersAudax Italiano 0 corners, Ñublense 5 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls14 foulsAudax Italiano 14 fouls, Ñublense 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Audax Italiano
0Draws
1Ñublense
Ñublense — Audax Italiano · Primera División2–3
Audax Italiano — Ñublense · Primera División0–1
Ñublense — Audax Italiano · Primera División1–2
Audax Italiano — Ñublense · Primera División1–0
Ñublense — Audax Italiano · Primera División2–5

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Audax Italiano favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Ñublense in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Audax Italiano29 matchesÑublense29 matches
1.69 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/290.9 goals/match
1.45 goals/matchGoals allowed29/291.38 goals/match
1.45 xG/match ▲Expected goals29/281.24 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots29/2912.7 shots/match
3.93 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/293.1 shots/match
43.8%Possession29/29● 52.1%
4.48 corners/match ●Corners29/294.28 corners/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls29/2912.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 2 Dec 2025, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

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