PitchMath
League One · 2026

Reading 1–1 Bradford City · League One

Reading

WWLWD
1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Reading and Bradford City drew 1–1.

Shots
1113
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
0.670.85
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Reading and Bradford City drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Reading – Bradford City): shots 11–13, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 0.67–0.85, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bradford City have a visible away split

moderate

Bradford City's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8 shots/match10.8 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Bradford City show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Bradford City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

16.4 shots/match ▲ShotsReading · Bradford City10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReadingBradford CityBaseline
Shots16.4 shots/match10.8 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against10.1 shots/match10.4 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Reading's recent record differs from the season

weak

Reading's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match2.13 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots13 shotsReading 11 shots, Bradford City 13 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsReading 3 shots, Bradford City 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.67 xG0.85 xGReading 0.67 xG, Bradford City 0.85 xG
  • Possession56%44%Reading 56%, Bradford City 44%
  • Corners9 corners5 cornersReading 9 corners, Bradford City 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls21 foulsReading 10 fouls, Bradford City 21 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsReading 2 cards, Bradford City 3 cards
  • Passes395 passes304 passesReading 395 passes, Bradford City 304 passes
  • Pass accuracy77.7%69.1%Reading 77.7%, Bradford City 69.1%
  • Shots inside box9 shots9 shotsReading 9 shots, Bradford City 9 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks5 blocksReading 4 blocks, Bradford City 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save2 savesReading 1 save, Bradford City 2 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides5 offsidesReading 3 offsides, Bradford City 5 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 4′Jake BeesleyGoal · Bradford City
  2. 12′Andy RinomhotaYellow card · Reading
  3. 18′Haydon RobertsYellow card · Reading
  4. 35′Ibou TourayYellow card · Bradford City
  5. 39′Aden BaldwinYellow card · Bradford City
  6. Half-time
  7. 66′Udoka Godwin-MalifeGoal · Reading
  8. 71′Bobby PointonYellow card · Bradford City
  9. Full time
Player changes · 8grouped by team and minute
  • 59′Reading · 1 player changeRandell Williams
  • 60′Reading · 1 player changeLiam Fraser
  • 67′Bradford City · 1 player changeGeorge Lapslie
  • 67′Reading · 1 player changeJamie Reid
  • 67′Bradford City · 1 player changeNick Powell
  • 77′Bradford City · 1 player changeWill Swan
  • 84′Reading · 1 player changeDaniel Kyerewaa
  • 90′Bradford City · 1 player changeCorey O'Keeffe

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Reading4-2-3-1
  1. Joel PereiraG
  2. Udoka Godwin-MalifeD
  3. Haydon RobertsD
  4. Paudie O’ConnorD
  5. Benn WardD
  6. Andy RinomhotaM
  7. Lewis WingM
  8. Josh StokesM
  9. Jacob BrownF
  10. Kyreece LisbieF
  11. Paddy LaneF

Substitutes

  • Jack Stevens
  • Conor Masterson
  • Ashqar Ahmed
  • Liam Fraser
  • Daniel Kyerewaa
  • Randell Williams
  • Jamie Reid
Bradford City3-4-2-1
  1. Cameron DawsonG
  2. Ibou TourayD
  3. Aden BaldwinD
  4. George PrattD
  5. Kayden JacksonD
  6. Matthew PenningtonD
  7. Callum ConnollyM
  8. Antoni SarcevicM
  9. Adam PhillipsF
  10. Jake BeesleyF
  11. Bobby PointonF

Substitutes

  • Colin Doyle
  • Macauley Gillesphey
  • Corey O'Keeffe
  • Kieran Morgan
  • Nick Powell
  • George Lapslie
  • Will Swan

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Reading
0Draws
1Bradford City
Reading — Bradford City · League One2–1
Bradford City — Reading · League One2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Reading favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Bradford City in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Reading8 matchesBradford City8 matches
2.13 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/81 goal/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 0.63 goals/match
1.94 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/81.01 xG/match
16.4 shots/match ▲Shots7/810.8 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/83.63 shots/match
50% ●Possession7/848.8%
5.57 corners/matchCorners7/8● 6.25 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls7/815.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsReadingBradford City
CompetitionLeague One
Head-to-headReading — Bradford City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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