PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2026

Başakşehir FK 4–0 Gençlerbirliği · Süper Lig

4–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Başakşehir FK won 4–0.

Shots
187
Shots on target
110
Expected goals
2.780.46
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Başakşehir FK beat Gençlerbirliği 4–0. Recorded in this match (Başakşehir FK – Gençlerbirliği): shots 18–7, shots on target 11–0, expected goals 2.78–0.46, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Gençlerbirliği's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Gençlerbirliği's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.83 goals/match1.37 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Başakşehir FK show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Başakşehir FK's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsBaşakşehir FK · Gençlerbirliği12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBaşakşehir FKGençlerbirliğiBaseline
Shots13 shots/match12 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match18.2 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Başakşehir FK have recorded the higher season possession share.

53.7% ●PossessionBaşakşehir FK · Gençlerbirliği44.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBaşakşehir FKGençlerbirliğiBaseline
Possession53.7%44.2%48.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots7 shotsBaşakşehir FK 18 shots, Gençlerbirliği 7 shots
  • Shots on target11 shots0 shotsBaşakşehir FK 11 shots, Gençlerbirliği 0 shots
  • Expected goals2.78 xG0.46 xGBaşakşehir FK 2.78 xG, Gençlerbirliği 0.46 xG
  • Possession54%46%Başakşehir FK 54%, Gençlerbirliği 46%
  • Corners3 corners7 cornersBaşakşehir FK 3 corners, Gençlerbirliği 7 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls9 foulsBaşakşehir FK 11 fouls, Gençlerbirliği 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardBaşakşehir FK 2 cards, Gençlerbirliği 1 card
  • Passes486 passes417 passesBaşakşehir FK 486 passes, Gençlerbirliği 417 passes
  • Pass accuracy88.1%83.9%Başakşehir FK 88.1%, Gençlerbirliği 83.9%
  • Shots inside box12 shots3 shotsBaşakşehir FK 12 shots, Gençlerbirliği 3 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks4 blocksBaşakşehir FK 4 blocks, Gençlerbirliği 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves7 savesBaşakşehir FK 0 saves, Gençlerbirliği 7 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides3 offsidesBaşakşehir FK 2 offsides, Gençlerbirliği 3 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 9′Andreas Skov OlsenGoal · Başakşehir FK
  2. 26′Abdurrahim DursunYellow card · Gençlerbirliği
  3. 28′Umut GüneşYellow card · Başakşehir FK
  4. 33′Eldor ShomurodovGoal · Başakşehir FK
  5. Half-time
  6. 53′Davie SelkePenalty goal · Başakşehir FK
  7. 57′Olivier KemenYellow card · Başakşehir FK
  8. 65′Eldor ShomurodovGoal · Başakşehir FK
  9. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 24′Gençlerbirliği · 1 player changeRafael Luis
  • 46′Gençlerbirliği · 1 player changeSekou Koita
  • 62′Gençlerbirliği · 1 player changeSalih Uçan
  • 62′Başakşehir FK · 2 player changesJakub Kałuziński · Onur Ergün
  • 69′Başakşehir FK · 1 player changeBertuğ Yıldırım
  • 77′Başakşehir FK · 2 player changesAbbosbek Fayzullaev · Berkay Özcan
  • 83′Gençlerbirliği · 2 player changesMetehan Baltacı · Prince Martor

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Başakşehir FK
0Draws
1Gençlerbirliği
Başakşehir FK — Gençlerbirliği · Süper Lig3–0
Gençlerbirliği — Başakşehir FK · Süper Lig2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Başakşehir FK favored in 13 of 13 directional metrics · Gençlerbirliği in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Başakşehir FK6 matchesGençlerbirliği6 matches
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/60.83 goals/match
1.83 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/62.17 goals/match
1.58 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/60.99 xG/match
13 shots/match ▲Shots6/612 shots/match
4.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/63.5 shots/match
53.7% ●Possession6/644.2%
4.33 corners/matchCorners6/6● 4.5 corners/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls6/612.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Sept 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBaşakşehir FKGençlerbirliği
CompetitionSüper Lig
Head-to-headBaşakşehir FK — Gençlerbirliği
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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