PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2026

Gençlerbirliği 1–2 Kasımpaşa · Süper Lig

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Kasımpaşa won 1–2.

Shots
1516
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
1.131.2
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Kasımpaşa beat Gençlerbirliği 2–1. Recorded in this match (Gençlerbirliği – Kasımpaşa): shots 15–16, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 1.13–1.2, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots16 shotsGençlerbirliği 15 shots, Kasımpaşa 16 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsGençlerbirliği 5 shots, Kasımpaşa 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.13 xG1.2 xGGençlerbirliği 1.13 xG, Kasımpaşa 1.2 xG
  • Possession42%58%Gençlerbirliği 42%, Kasımpaşa 58%
  • Corners8 corners9 cornersGençlerbirliği 8 corners, Kasımpaşa 9 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls14 foulsGençlerbirliği 18 fouls, Kasımpaşa 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsGençlerbirliği 3 cards, Kasımpaşa 3 cards
  • Passes297 passes425 passesGençlerbirliği 297 passes, Kasımpaşa 425 passes
  • Pass accuracy80.5%84.5%Gençlerbirliği 80.5%, Kasımpaşa 84.5%
  • Shots inside box12 shots9 shotsGençlerbirliği 12 shots, Kasımpaşa 9 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks3 blocksGençlerbirliği 4 blocks, Kasımpaşa 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save4 savesGençlerbirliği 1 save, Kasımpaşa 4 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideGençlerbirliği 1 offside, Kasımpaşa 1 offside

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ousmane Diabate · Gençlerbirliği · 57′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAli Yavuz Kol · Kasımpaşa · 78′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOğulcan Ülgün · Gençlerbirliği · 2′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdama Malouda Traoré · Gençlerbirliği · 44′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMarcus Rafferty · Kasımpaşa · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFranco Tongya · Gençlerbirliği · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedThalisson · Gençlerbirliği · 60′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCláudio Winck · Kasımpaşa · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAli Yavuz Kol · Kasımpaşa · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Benedyczak · Kasımpaşa · 61′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGüven Yalçın · Kasımpaşa · 89′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTiago Gouveia · Gençlerbirliği · 9′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Diabate · Gençlerbirliği · 23′ · 0.05 xG · goalCláudio Winck · Kasımpaşa · 18′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDimitris Goutas · Gençlerbirliği · 4′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCláudio Winck · Kasımpaşa · 44′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Rafferty · Kasımpaşa · 48′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAdrian Benedyczak · Kasımpaşa · 52′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFranco Tongya · Gençlerbirliği · 66′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAdem Arous · Kasımpaşa · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDimitris Goutas · Gençlerbirliği · 23′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPedro Mendes · Gençlerbirliği · 33′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAdrian Benedyczak · Kasımpaşa · 79′ · 0.10 xG · goalCláudio Winck · Kasımpaşa · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPedro Mendes · Gençlerbirliği · 57′ · 0.11 xG · on targetGüven Yalçın · Kasımpaşa · 62′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAli Yavuz Kol · Kasımpaşa · 35′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedPedro Mendes · Gençlerbirliği · 72′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedPedro Mendes · Gençlerbirliği · 57′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedTiago Gouveia · Gençlerbirliği · 59′ · 0.19 xG · on targetGüven Yalçın · Kasımpaşa · 90′ · 0.22 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Gençlerbirliği: 15 shots, 5 on target, 1.19 xG. Kasımpaşa: 16 shots, 3 on target, 1.23 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Ousmane Diabate · Gençlerbirliği · 23′Adrian Benedyczak · Kasımpaşa · 79′Güven Yalçın · Kasımpaşa · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Gençlerbirliği 1.19 xG · Kasımpaşa 1.23 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Gençlerbirliği
1Draws
0Kasımpaşa
Gençlerbirliği — Kasımpaşa · Süper Lig3–2
Kasımpaşa — Gençlerbirliği · Süper Lig0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Gençlerbirliği favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Kasımpaşa in 7 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Gençlerbirliği5 matchesKasımpaşa5 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 1.4 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 1 goal/match
1.1 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 1.16 xG/match
13 shots/match ▲Shots5/511.4 shots/match
4.2 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/53.6 shots/match
43.8% ●Possession5/540.6%
4 corners/match ●Corners5/53.4 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls5/514.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGençlerbirliğiKasımpaşa
CompetitionSüper Lig
Head-to-headGençlerbirliği — Kasımpaşa
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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