PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2026

Galatasaray 1–0 Kocaelispor · Süper Lig

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Galatasaray won 1–0.

Shots
2812
Shots on target
91
Expected goals
2.340.74
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Galatasaray beat Kocaelispor 1–0. Recorded in this match (Galatasaray – Kocaelispor): shots 28–12, shots on target 9–1, expected goals 2.34–0.74, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Galatasaray show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Galatasaray's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

24.6 shots/match ▲ShotsGalatasaray · Kocaelispor11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGalatasarayKocaelisporBaseline
Shots24.6 shots/match11 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against10.6 shots/match17.2 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Galatasaray have a visible home split

weak

Galatasaray's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

33.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season24.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots33.3 shots/match24.6 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Galatasaray have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.2% ●PossessionGalatasaray · Kocaelispor46.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricGalatasarayKocaelisporBaseline
Possession59.2%46.4%50.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots28 shots12 shotsGalatasaray 28 shots, Kocaelispor 12 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots1 shotGalatasaray 9 shots, Kocaelispor 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.34 xG0.74 xGGalatasaray 2.34 xG, Kocaelispor 0.74 xG
  • Possession61%39%Galatasaray 61%, Kocaelispor 39%
  • Corners16 corners3 cornersGalatasaray 16 corners, Kocaelispor 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls10 foulsGalatasaray 13 fouls, Kocaelispor 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardGalatasaray 2 cards, Kocaelispor 1 card
  • Passes479 passes322 passesGalatasaray 479 passes, Kocaelispor 322 passes
  • Pass accuracy88.3%76.1%Galatasaray 88.3%, Kocaelispor 76.1%
  • Shots inside box19 shots10 shotsGalatasaray 19 shots, Kocaelispor 10 shots
  • Blocked shots6 blocks7 blocksGalatasaray 6 blocks, Kocaelispor 7 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save8 savesGalatasaray 1 save, Kocaelispor 8 saves
  • Offsides1 offside2 offsidesGalatasaray 1 offside, Kocaelispor 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 22′Anfernee Jamal DijksteelYellow card · Kocaelispor
  2. Half-time
  3. 56′Deniz GülYellow card · Galatasaray
  4. 71′Abdülkerim BardakcıGoal · Galatasaray
  5. 90′Roland SallaiYellow card · Galatasaray
  6. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 59′Kocaelispor · 1 player changeMakana Baku
  • 59′Galatasaray · 1 player changeAleksey Batrakov
  • 77′Kocaelispor · 1 player changeTayfur Bingöl
  • 77′Galatasaray · 2 player changesLeroy Sané · Lesley Ugochukwu
  • 78′Kocaelispor · 1 player changeMetehan Altunbaş
  • 86′Galatasaray · 1 player changeIsmail Jakobs
  • 86′Kocaelispor · 2 player changesArda Ozyar · Uğur Kaan Yıldız
  • 86′Galatasaray · 1 player changeKazımcan Karataş

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Galatasaray
1Draws
1Kocaelispor
Galatasaray — Kocaelispor · Süper Lig1–1
Kocaelispor — Galatasaray · Süper Lig1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Galatasaray favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Kocaelispor in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Galatasaray5 matchesKocaelispor5 matches
2.6 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/51 goal/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 0.8 goals/match
2.56 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/50.88 xG/match
24.6 shots/match ▲Shots5/511 shots/match
8.6 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/53.8 shots/match
59.2% ●Possession5/546.4%
7.4 corners/match ●Corners5/53.2 corners/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGalatasarayKocaelispor
CompetitionSüper Lig
Head-to-headGalatasaray — Kocaelispor
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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